Learning
about human progress is not an exercise in optimism, cheeriness, or looking on
the bright side: it´s a matter of accuracy, of understanding the world as it
really is (Steven Pinker, Skeptical Inquirer).
Finally, of
course, there comes the Age of the One, when the cow is on only a single leg.
This is our unfortunate time, the age of the mixture of castes, when nobody
knows his own true nature. And the worst of it is that people won´t read the
scriptures, and when they do they don´t understand them. This is the age of
deterioration. And if – from the traditional perspective – you want to have any
proof of the deterioration, just look at everything that we call progress: it
is an exteriorization of life; the machines are taking over. And everything
that we in the West consider to be evidence of progress, is, in terms of this
ancient tradition, evidence of decline. So the world is getting worse (Joseph Campbell, Myths of Light).
The skeptical movement is
a modern social movement which is building on the enlightenment
philosophy. The enlightenment philosophers were emphasizing, that the reason shall
function objective and effective, and they rejected, or criticized, everything
that were obscure and subjective: superstition, tradition, myths, religion,
feelings. Opinions, conventions, institutions, manners and customs, none of
this were able to justify anything. Only the reason was able to do this. When
the reason functioned objective and effective you had a clear and certain
knowledge. And clear and certain knowledge you had in the natural sciences.
The enlightenment´s counterpart
to tradition and its prejudices therefore became the knowledge of natural
science. Herewith arised the so-called progressive optimism, which meant that
scientific knowledge not only would create material progress, but enlightenment
would also make mankind better. Individualism, the thought about the individual
person as a rational, and therewith independently, autonomous being, is
connected with the thought about the individual human being´s rights. The enlightenment
philosophers were advocates for what we today understand by human rights.
Descartes, and the philosophical
rationalists, were emphasizing, that the reason was the way to insight in the
unknown, in the eternal truths and the universe´s connections, in universal
scales about the Good, the True, and the Beautiful.
Aristotle meant, that what
differentiates Man from the rest of the animals, is reason. He defined Man as a
rational animal.
Up through the Western history
of philosophy philosophers have argued, that reason was the most crucial thing
in Man. Our thinking about state and society are based on the idea about, that
Man is an enlightened and rational being. The democracy is standing or falling
with, that the individual is able to understand and decide on political
problems.
So, the concept of the use of
reason is not an invention of the enlightenment philosophers, but is a central
concept of philosophy as such, for example in Plato´s works and in the Upanishads.
The problem with the enlightenment
philosophy is the beginning of reductionism, or scientism. The enlightenment
philosophers´ conception of reason corresponds to what Habermas calls the
instrumental reason, or the technical reason. It is controlling, it is about
achieving something, acquiring something and becoming something, and about finding
means for these goal, a quite central thought in the ideology of evolutionism.
And that way it must necessarily function in connection with material and
technical questions and problems. The problems arise when this attitude come to
characterize human relationships, where values should to be crucial. Then it becomes
will to power. So Habermas will agree with the enligthenment philosophers in,
that an instrumental reason very likely can create material progress, but
disagree in, that it can make mankind better. To suppose this has led to, that
the systems have colonized the lifeworld.
The skeptical movement has,
like the enlightenment philosophers, the goal of investigating claims made
on fringe topics and determining whether they are supported by empirical
research. The movement involves the application of critical-thinking skills,
the area within philosophy called logic. Logic originally meant "the
word" or "what is spoken", but coming to mean
"thought" or "reason", is a subject concerned with the most
general laws of truth, and is now generally held to consist of the
systematic study of the form of valid inference.
The movement is also
characterized by, that only a very few of the members actually are philosophers,
and therefore we also see a tendency towards reductionism. A reductionism is a
philosophical view point, which reduces philosophy (or religion) to a single
branch of science. In that way it avoids the difficult task of philosophical
argumentation by insinuating that the view point is supported by science.
Historically, logic has been
studied in philosophy (since ancient times) and mathematics (since
the mid-19th century), and recently logic has been studied in computer
science, linguistics, psychology, and other fields. Traditionally logic
included the classification of arguments, the systematic exposition of the
'logical form' common to all valid arguments, the study of inference,
including fallacies, and the study of semantics, including paradoxes.
The skeptical movement is
obsessed with putting fallacy labels on just about any view point which the
movement doesn´t like, and the lack of philosophical training results in a
paradox. The movement has committed itself to logical reasoning, but again and
again the members exposes how little they are able to apply logic to their own
claims. As an example of the self-contradictory aspect is Dawkins´ book The God Delusion where he states that
religion simply is evil! When it is banished from the face of the earth, we can
live in peace! It is a theme that goes from beginning to end. The God that
Dawkins does not believe in is (and I quote from page 31): “a petty, unjust,
unforgiving control freak; a vindictive, bloodthirsty ethnic cleanser; a
misogynistic, homophobic, racist, infanticidal, genocidal, filicidal,
pestilential, megalomaniacal, sadomasochistic, capriciously malevolent bully.”
And religious people are all
under one characterized as deranged, deluded, deceived and deceiving; their
intellectual capacity having been warped through being hijacked by an
infectious, malignant God-virus. In short: religious people are idiots.
Furthermore: the “rational
arguments” in the book is simply a bunch of pseudoscientific speculation, poor reasoning,
diversionary ploys, seductive reasoning errors, techniques of persuasion and
avoidance. Dawkins is obviously trying to do philosophy, but manages only to
demonstrate his lack of competence herein. The reviewer of Prospect magazine was shocked at this “incurious, dogmatic,
rambling, and self-contradictory” book. The title of the review? “Dawkins the
dogmatist.”
Psychologists like to put diagnoses
on people, and it seems like psychologists in the skeptical movement are using
logic as a means of diagnosing people with fallacies. In my previous article on
skeptical inquirer I wrote about the professor in psychology, and associate
with CSI, James E. Alcock, and his article called The God Engine, where he writes:
A
number of automatic processes and cognitive biases combine to make supernatural
belief the automatic default.
So, belief in the supernatural
is a cognitive bias according to the professor. The paradox is that his own are
stuffed with fallacies. He seems to be unable to examine whether his own
statements are logically sound.
The topic for this article, Steven
Pinker (also a psychologist), is continuing with this fallacy-as-diagnosis tendency.
Pinker´s target is not religion, but people who are not progressivists. These
people are then diagnosed with the label: “Suffering from Progressophobia.” It
sounds like something from Orwell´s 1984, or Aldous Huxley´s Brave New World.
Pinker´s article in skeptical
Inquirer is precisely called Progressophobia
– Why Things are Better Than You Think They Are, and the description goes:
Intellectuals
dislike the very idea of progress. Our own mental bugs also distort out
understanding of the world, blinding us to improvements in the human condition
underway globally – and to the ideas that have made them possible.
The
article is adapted from his book Enlightenment Now: The Case for Reason,
Science, Humanism, and Progress (2018), where he instead of philosophy
argumentation (the book can of course only be characterized as philosophy), uses
statistics to argue that health, prosperity, safety, peace, and happiness are
on the rise, both in the West and worldwide. It attributes these positive
outcomes to Enlightenment values such as reason, science, and humanism.
The book concludes with three chapters defending what Pinker sees as
Enlightenment values: reason, science, and humanism. Pinker
argues that these values are under threat from modern trends such as religious
fundamentalism, political correctness, and postmodernism.
Pinker, like Alcock, and a
number of other members of the skeptical movement, ends in a central fallacy
themselves, namely the That´s a Fallacy
bias. This is the manoeuvre of falsely accusing someone of committing a
fallacy. It is a form of rhetoric which can be particular pernicious. If you
were putting forward a case and someone confidently declares that what you have
just said involves a number of fallacies, then you may be tempted to back down,
giving your attacker the benefit of the doubt. But the onus should be on those
who accuse others of fallacious reasoning to spell out precisely why they
believe this to be a fair charge, otherwise the charge is at best vague. The
situation is made more complicated because of the ambiguity of the word “fallacy”;
it can mean invalid reasoning, and unreliable pattern of argument, or, in some
contexts it may simply be shorthand for “I disagree with your last statement”.
This latter use, like the increasingly common use of “begging the question” to
mean “suggest the question”, should be avoided as it muddles the important
distinction between a statement being thought false and a form of argument
being fallacious. The best defence against a claim that you have used a fallacy
is to request an explanation of the charge from anyone who makes it.
One of the fallacies Pinker
diagnoses non-progressivists (pessimists, traditionalists) with is the so-called
availability bias. The availability bias is a cognitive bias involving making quick
judgments based on the speed with which memories are aroused and become
available to the conscious mind. The main factors influencing the speed with
which memories present themselves are recent frequency of similar experiences
or messages, or the salient, dramatic, or personal nature of experiences.
In our culture, the mass media
plays an important role in affecting what comes to mind quickly when we think
of the frequency, importance, or causes of things. But Pinker claims that the news are
accentuated by cognitive biases when showing bad news all the time. “If it
bleeds, it leads” This is not directly an accusation of fake news, but it is getting
close to.
Rational judgments should be
made on the basis of a consideration of all the relevant evidence, but many
judgments we consider rational are made based on the ease with which they come
to us. For example, a person might decide not to take a cruise to Alaska that
she was about to book when she heard about the cruise ship Costa Concordia
striking a reef hear the Tuscan island of Giglio, killing more than 20
passengers. The safety of a cruise to Alaska has not diminished because of what
happened off the coast of Italy, but the news report and videos immediately
bring to the mind the horror of dying on a captized cruise ship. The decision
not to take the planned cruise has been biased by the news of the Costa
Concordia. Likewise, many people refuse to fly on a commercial airliner because
someone they love died in an airplane crash, yet these same people will drive
thousands of miles every year rather than fly, even though they are more likely
to be killed in an automobile crash than in an airliner crash.
So, the availability bias is
fully valid bias, but Pinker is misusing it, by labeling all people who are not
progressivists with this fallacy. He therefore ends in a long line of self-contradictions,
where he himself are committing fallacies, as for example generalization, representative
bias, prejudice, ad hominem move, attribution, selective thinking, confirmation
bias, etc.
Another problem with the book
is the use of statistics. Two thirds of
the book, which is a kind of sequel to his bestselling The Better Angels of Our Nature,
consists of chapter after chapter of evidence that life has been getting
progressively better for most people. “How can we soundly appraise the state of
the world?” he asks. “The answer is to count.” The litany of facts is
awesome, covering health, wealth, inequality, the environment, peace, democracy
and on and on, though one wonders if there is any possible tipping point within
this deluge where a doubter might suddenly be convinced. But Nicholas Guilhot
of Princeton, said that the book was selling a narrative, and "As is often
the case when statistics are summoned at the service of a preconceived notion,
the data provided is highly selective, contradictory, or
irrelevant."
There are many
statistical functions that may be used to compare values. Unfortunately, there
are more ways to use them wrong than to use them right. There are especially 4 ways to abuse
statistics:
1) Bad data
collection
2) Bad
application of statistical functions
3) Forming the
wrong conclusion
4) Sneaky
tricks to mislead the unwary
This could actually be called “The Statistics fallacy”. Read more about the Statistics Fallacy.
This could actually be called “The Statistics fallacy”. Read more about the Statistics Fallacy.
So, in a curious way, some of the book’s core claims actually undercut the very Enlightenment cause Pinker is committed to championing.
John Gray in the New Statesman wrote, "To think of this book as any kind of scholarly exercise is a category mistake. The purpose of Pinker’s laborious work is to reassure liberals that they are on “the right side of history”".
The Guardian and The
Financial Times dismissed Pinker's contention that the left is partly to
blame for anti-reason rhetoric and also objected to Pinker's criticism of
groups such as postmodernists, de-growth environmentalists, and social
justice warriors.
Pinker is inspired by historian
Arthur Herman´s The Idea of Decline in
Western history. Herman traces the roots of declinism and shows how major
thinkers, past and present, have contributed to its development as a coherent
ideology of cultural pessimism. From Nazism to the Sixties counterculture, from
Britain's Fabian socialists to America's multiculturalists, and from Dracula
and Freud to Robert Bly and Madonna, this work examines the idea of decline in
Western history and sets out to explain how the conviction of civilization's
inevitable end has become a fixed part of the modern Western imagination. Through a series of biographical portraits spanning
the 19th and 20th centuries, the author traces the roots of declinism and aims
to show how major thinkers of the past and present, including Nietzsche,
DuBois, Sartre, and Foucault, have contributed to its development as a coherent
ideology of cultural pessimism.
His
flashiest claim is that fascism, Nazism, Third World communism, black power and
radical environmentalism have roots in the same wrongheaded cultural pessimism.
Series
of biographical sketches of contributors to the great ocean of Western
self-hatred: Rousseau to Marx, Nietzsche to Spengler, Freud to Marcuse, DuBois
to Fanon and many more. He did not join the ranks of the so-called declinists after
examining the works of Friedrich Nietzsche, Michel Foucault, Henry
Adams, Brooks Adams, Oswald Spengler, and Arnold Toynbee, who
expressed pessimism about the fate of the West, and remains cautiously
optimistic about the future of the Western civilization.
Though there is some truth in
this, it is a wrong picture of Western thought, since many of the thinkers,
which both Herman and Pinker mention, only can be characterized as
progressivists. As I have shown in my Ebook Evolutionism
– The Red Thread in The Matrix Conspiracy, the central thought in a Western
context is evolutionism, and therefore progressivism. Many of the “negative” thinkers
Pinker mentions, are for example supporters of the humanist self-production
thesis. Kirkus Reviews precisely noted that though Pinker is progressive,
"the academically orthodox will find him an apostate".
Modern Age Journal said
while Pinker's book is graphic and full of data, it verges onto utopianism. Not
surprisingly Pinker is known for his advocacy of evolutionary psychology and
the computational theory of mind, all favorites of the Californian
Ideology, the last, and tragic development of evolutionism. On 29 January Bill
Gates tweeted praise for Enlightenment, calling it "my new
favorite book". Gates stated he agreed overall with the techno-optimism of
the book, but cautioned that Pinker is too "quick to dismiss" the
idea that artificial superintelligence could someday lead to human
extinction.
Yes, artificial intelligence
can lead to human extinction, and so can many other problems of the world.
Pinker is bagatellizing such problems. With the industrial
modernization Man has cultivated a mind, which can solve almost any
technological problem; that, which the philosopher Habermas calls the
instrumental reason, and the kind of reason the Enlightenment philosophers
advocated. But apparently human problems have never been solved. On the
contrary mankind are about to be drowned in its problems: problems concerning
communication, the relationship with others, heaven and hell. The whole of the
human existence has become one extremely complex problem. And apparently it has
been like that through the whole of history. Despite the knowledge of Man,
despite his millenniums of evolution, Man has never been free from such
problems.
The solutions to such problems
require a communicative reason, a reason, which understands the human
community. But as Habermas says, then we are not using such a reason, on the
contrary we are using the instrumental reason on human problems, where it only should
be used on technical problems. We seek to solve human problems technically,
where they should be solved in a philosophical way. The systems (the market,
the economy, the bureaucracy) have colonized the lifeworld.
In this way we today have a
peculiar situation. We have solved almost all technical problems, a number of
countries have democracy with large political freedom, but at the same time the
human problems still flourish, and the attempt to solve them technically, seems
to have brought about a condition of total confusion, of fragmentation, decay
of values, consumerism. A condition, which is spreading globally.
We live in an age, where we
are on the way into crises, which are of a size, that never before have been
seen in the history of mankind. Mechanization, automation and introduction of
new technology have created new forms of work, but also a massive unemployment.
On the background of modernization the increase of population is fastly rising,
and this growth is in the long term quite untenable, and will unavoidably
involve increased problems of distribution between the richest and the poorest
areas. In addition to this, we are getting closer to that moment, where there
not will be food enough to the population of the earth – regardless which
discoveries and inventions, that might see the light of the day.
The industrialization has also
had global consequences. The ”side effects” of industrialization in the form of
emptying of ressources, possible climatic changes and pollution of earth, water
and air, is now so massive, that it is obvious, that the now known forms of
industry and industrial agriculture not will be able to continue unchanged, not
to talk about spreading to the whole world. The enourmous growth in productive
power has also been accompanied by a perhaps even larger growth in destructive
power. The spread of weapon of mass destruction makes possible the extinction
of all human life, and perhaps all life on the planet. We must expect, that the
mutual economical dependency the nations between will be larger and larger, and
that public mixing and clash of cultures will heighten. Terrorism has in this
connection seen the light of the day.
And humans´ existential
experience of this condition, are characterized by unreality, alienation,
meaninglessness, a thorough boredom and ennui. All this are especially caused
by the elimination of the meaning which were to be found in the original wisdom
traditions. Boredom has become connected with drug abuse, alcohol abuse,
smoking, anorexia, promiscuity, vandalism, depression, agression, hostility,
violence, suicide, risk behaviour etc. etc.
And the meaninglessness, and
the decay of values, can lead people to begin to take extreme ideologies up to
consideration again, perhaps even in the name of democracy. It is a fact that
we have begun to bring about democracy through war, without investigating the
question about the historical limited mind, not in the others, or in ourselves.
In spite of the fact, that we have introduced outside democracy in a number of
countries, then this namely doesn´t make the mind democratic. A democratic mind
requires a human being, who both in mind and heart is clear-sighted and
peaceful, a human being, who has gone through a philosophical revolution. And
before that has happened, any democracy is a process that dissolves itself from
the inside, and a ticking bomb.
Herein is lying a gigantic,
world political and local political challenge to think again concerning the
relationship between Man, society and nature, and not only automatically
continue thought-patterns from the liberalist and socialist traditions, which
have grown out together with the industrial modernization.
Philosophy as an art of life
looks at all this as a philosophical challenge. Only by emphasizing the primary
things, the secondary can be understood and solved. The economical and social
evils can´t be solved without first understanding, what has caused them. And in
order to be able to understand them, and in this way create a radical change,
we must first fully understand ourselves, since we are the cause of these
evils.
Unfortunately this won´t
happen. Our age is on its way into a down-cyclic age of decline which we can´t
avoid. This is especially seen in the decline of philosophy, which Pinker´s
article and book bears witness of.
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